[email\u00a0protected]<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n\nCon el insuficiente rescate a Petr\u00f3leos Mexicanos (Pemex) y el efecto en la calificaci\u00f3n soberana, se corre el riesgo de que se profundice la desaceleraci\u00f3n y se tenga la primera crisis causada por cuestiones internas.<\/p>\n
\nAs\u00ed lo advirti\u00f3 el Instituto Mexicano de Contadores P\u00fablicos (IMCP) en conferencia de prensa, en la que se consider\u00f3 que en ese entorno Arturo Herrera tendr\u00e1 un enorme reto por delante como nuevo secretario de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico (SHCP).<\/p>\n
\nEl presidente de la Comisi\u00f3n de An\u00e1lisis Econ\u00f3mico del IMCP, Ernesto O\u2019Farrill, alert\u00f3 que la desaceleraci\u00f3n est\u00e1 siendo inducida por factores internos.<\/p>\n
\n\u201cEl recorte al gasto, la falta de inversi\u00f3n, sobre todo en el sector energ\u00e9tico, y el peligro de que se deteriore m\u00e1s la calificaci\u00f3n soberana van a provocar que se profundice la desaceleraci\u00f3n\u201d, explic\u00f3.<\/p>\n
\nSi eso sucede, advirti\u00f3, subir\u00e1 el costo del dinero, habr\u00e1 m\u00e1s inflaci\u00f3n por el impacto del tipo de cambio, se afectar\u00e1 la recaudaci\u00f3n de impuestos y ser\u00e1 m\u00e1s dif\u00edcil hacer negocios para el sector privado.<\/p>\n
\nAnticip\u00f3 que ser\u00e1 una crisis de naturaleza distinta a la de la d\u00e9cada de 1980 y de la recesi\u00f3n de 2008, cuyo origen fue por choques externos. O\u2019Farrill asever\u00f3 que los indicadores econ\u00f3micos muestran una tendencia negativa, y tarde o temprano se reflejar\u00e1 en el empleo.<\/p>\n
\nAdem\u00e1s, subray\u00f3, si se posterga la reforma fiscal para mediados del sexenio ser\u00e1 muy tarde para compensar el hueco que dejar\u00e1 el nuevo esquema tributario de Pemex frente a los mayores compromisos de gasto en programas sociales impulsados por un fundamentalismo ideol\u00f3gico.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
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