{"id":2111,"date":"2019-07-20T17:44:04","date_gmt":"2019-07-20T17:44:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/selectednews.info\/mx\/decepciona-plan-de-negocios-estudio\/"},"modified":"2019-07-20T17:44:18","modified_gmt":"2019-07-20T17:44:18","slug":"decepciona-plan-de-negocios-estudio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/selectednews.info\/mx\/decepciona-plan-de-negocios-estudio\/","title":{"rendered":"Decepciona plan de negocios: estudio"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><em><span class=\"__cf_email__\" data-cfemail=\"cba8aab9bfaeb9aa8baea7bea5a2bdaeb9b8aaa7e5a8a4a6e5a6b3\">[email\u00a0protected]<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Bruselas.\u2014<\/strong> Con el Plan de Negocios de Petr\u00f3leos Mexicanos (Pemex), \u00a0\u00a0que present\u00f3 esta semana el presidente Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador, M\u00e9xico no resucitar\u00e1 a la paraestatal ni revertir\u00e1 el desplome de la producci\u00f3n energ\u00e9tica a los niveles previstos, afirma un estudio de la firma Oxford Economics.<\/p>\n<p>\nLa consultora brit\u00e1nica sostiene que tampoco se har\u00e1 realidad la construcci\u00f3n de la nueva refiner\u00eda de Dos Bocas, como promete el Jefe del Ejecutivo.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201cCreemos [y el Instituto Mexicano del Petr\u00f3leo] que es poco probable que la nueva refiner\u00eda se complete con el presupuesto de 8 mil millones de d\u00f3lares prometido por el gobierno para su desarrollo, o dentro del plazo de cuatro a\u00f1os anunciado por el presidente L\u00f3pez Obrador\u201d, indica el documento.<\/p>\n<p>\nEl reporte fue elaborado por la economista Joan Domene y examina el alcance de la estrategia aprobada por el Consejo de Administraci\u00f3n del gigante petrolero.<\/p>\n<p>\nEl texto sostiene que el plan est\u00e1 basado en dos pilares esenciales: aumentar la producci\u00f3n y reducir gradualmente la carga fiscal, de 65% actual a 54% en 2021, con el objetivo de a\u00f1adir 7 mil millones de d\u00f3lares a la cartera de inversi\u00f3n de Pemex (0.5% del PIB).<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201cPero el plan decepciona en ambos frentes\u201d, indica el an\u00e1lisis.<\/p>\n<p>\nPor un lado, sostiene que el alivio a la carga fiscal es t\u00edmido comparado con lo requerido. De acuerdo con c\u00e1lculos hechos por agencias como Fitch Ratings, la contribuci\u00f3n fiscal de Pemex deber\u00eda reducirse en m\u00e1s de 50%.<\/p>\n<p>\nEn segundo lugar, apunta, \u201ces igualmente decepcionante la falta de detalles que hay sobre c\u00f3mo la empresa productiva del Estado pretende aumentar la producci\u00f3n de petr\u00f3leo en 9% para el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o [a 1.9 millones de barriles diarios] y hasta en 35% en el a\u00f1o 2022 [a 2.3 millones de barriles diarios]\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\nOxford Economics se\u00f1ala que la producci\u00f3n de crudo registra una picada ininterrumpida desde hace 14 a\u00f1os por falta de inversi\u00f3n, exploraci\u00f3n, as\u00ed como el establecimiento de asociaciones estrat\u00e9gicas con el sector privado.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201cUna menor carga fiscal y mayor disponibilidad de capital liberar\u00e1n fondos para la inversi\u00f3n, pero la renuencia de Pemex a trabajar con el sector privado a trav\u00e9s de joint ventures (farmouts) genera preocupaciones sobre su capacidad para aumentar la producci\u00f3n\u201d, agrega.<\/p>\n<p>\nEn s\u00edntesis, asegura que el plan \u201creduce a m\u00ednimos\u201d la participaci\u00f3n de los particulares, al tiempo que no resuelve el problema de endeudamiento, factor que encendi\u00f3 las alertas por parte de las agencias de calificaci\u00f3n de riesgo.<\/p>\n<p>\nAdem\u00e1s, sostiene que Petr\u00f3leos Mexicanos es la compa\u00f1\u00eda petrolera m\u00e1s endeudada del mundo, con una factura pendiente de 106 mil millones de d\u00f3lares.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201cEl plan de negocios de Pemex decepciona al mercado debido a que las medidas anunciadas dif\u00edcilmente podr\u00e1n solucionar las preocupaciones de calificaci\u00f3n crediticia\u201d, subraya Oxford Economics.<\/p>\n<p>\nEl reporte se\u00f1ala que para evitar da\u00f1os en las m\u00e9tricas fiscales de M\u00e9xico, probablemente el gobierno necesitar\u00e1 incrementar los recortes al gasto: \u201cEsto plantea un riesgo a la baja para nuestro escenario base de crecimiento del PIB a 1.7% el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o y a 1.9% en 2021\u201d, advierte la consultora europea.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eluniversal.com.mx\/cartera\/decepciona-plan-de-negocios-estudio\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] [email\u00a0protected] Bruselas.\u2014 Con el Plan de Negocios de Petr\u00f3leos Mexicanos (Pemex), \u00a0\u00a0que present\u00f3 esta semana el presidente Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador, M\u00e9xico no resucitar\u00e1 a la paraestatal ni revertir\u00e1 el desplome de la producci\u00f3n energ\u00e9tica a los niveles previstos, afirma un estudio de la firma Oxford Economics. La consultora brit\u00e1nica sostiene que tampoco se [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2112,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2111","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias-de-negocios"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Decepciona plan de negocios: estudio - Selected News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/selectednews.info\/mx\/decepciona-plan-de-negocios-estudio\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Decepciona plan de negocios: estudio - Selected News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[ad_1] [email\u00a0protected] Bruselas.\u2014 Con el Plan de Negocios de Petr\u00f3leos Mexicanos (Pemex), \u00a0\u00a0que present\u00f3 esta semana el presidente Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador, M\u00e9xico no resucitar\u00e1 a la paraestatal ni revertir\u00e1 el desplome de la producci\u00f3n energ\u00e9tica a los niveles previstos, afirma un estudio de la firma Oxford Economics. 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