[email\u00a0protected]<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n\nInversionistas y analistas est\u00e1n convencidos de que la Reserva Federal (Fed) va a recortar esta semana las tasas de inter\u00e9s en Estados Unidos por primera vez desde 2008.<\/p>\n
\nLa decisi\u00f3n se anunciar\u00e1 el mi\u00e9rcoles a las 13:00 horas, tiempo del centro de M\u00e9xico, cuyo comunicado puede reducir el precio del d\u00f3lar y dar impulso a las bolsas de valores.<\/p>\n
\nDe acuerdo con un sondeo aplicado por Reuters a 111 analistas, 107 anticipan que la Fed bajar\u00e1 25 puntos base su tasa referencial a un rango de 2% a 2.25%, desde el intervalo actual que va de 2.25% a 2.50%.<\/p>\n
\nDos participantes m\u00e1s proyectan que la tasa bajar\u00e1 50 puntos a un rango de 1.75% a 2%, y otro par estima que la tasa seguir\u00e1 igual.<\/p>\n
Por su parte, todos los inversionistas dan por hecho que la Fed bajar\u00e1 las tasas esta semana por primera vez desde diciembre de 2008, pero dudan de la magnitud del recorte.<\/p>\n
\nEl precio de los contratos negociados en la Bolsa Mercantil de Chicago se\u00f1ala una probabilidad de 86.5% de una disminuci\u00f3n de 25 puntos base y una apuesta de 13.5% de una reducci\u00f3n de 50 puntos.<\/p>\n
\nEl documento de la Fed vendr\u00e1 acompa\u00f1ado de una actualizaci\u00f3n a sus pron\u00f3sticos econ\u00f3micos y, media hora despu\u00e9s, el presidente de la instituci\u00f3n, Jerome Powell, ofrecer\u00e1 una conferencia de prensa para argumentar la decisi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n
\nEn respuesta a la Fed, la mayor\u00eda de analistas espera que el Banco de M\u00e9xico replique el recorte de tasas el pr\u00f3ximo 26 de septiembre.<\/p>\n
\nEl mi\u00e9rcoles dar\u00e1n en M\u00e9xico una estimaci\u00f3n del Producto Interno Bruto del segundo trimestre, que servir\u00e1 para determinar si la econom\u00eda est\u00e1 o no en recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica.<\/p>\n
\nEn CitiBanamex y Banorte coinciden en que la econom\u00eda ligar\u00e1 dos trimestres en contracci\u00f3n y confirmar\u00e1 una recesi\u00f3n, la primera desde la crisis internacional de 2009.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
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