T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u00f3i ngh\u00e8o c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n m\u01b0\u1eddi sau g\u1ea7n hai th\u1eadp k\u1ef7, song c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn ph\u1ea3i th\u00e1o g\u1ee1.
\n“H\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng” l\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a Di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n th\u01b0\u1eddng ni\u00ean v\u1ec1 C\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n n\u0103m 2019, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c h\u00f4m nay (ng\u00e0y 19\/9) t\u1ea1i H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i.
\nPh\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u khai m\u1ea1c di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n, B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng K\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch & \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Nguy\u1ec5n Ch\u00ed D\u0169ng kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh, tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi n\u00f3i \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c h\u00f3a kh\u00e1t v\u1ecdng th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng, ch\u1ec9 ri\u00eang vi\u1ec7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua “b\u1eaby thu nh\u1eadp trung b\u00ecnh” \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ecf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam.
\nNh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n, l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhanh c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, l\u00e0 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p c\u1ee7a th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ea1nh tranh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng cao, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9 l\u00ean ng\u00f4i.\u00a0Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 m\u1ecdi ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng, song\u00a0\u00f4ng Ousmane Dione, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c qu\u1ed1c gia Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (World Bank)\u00a0cho r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch “t\u00e1o b\u1ea1o”.
\nCh\u1eef “t\u00e1o b\u1ea1o” \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c World Bank Vi\u1ec7t Nam nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1edbi hai n\u00fat th\u1eaft c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u1ee9 hai l\u00e0 y\u00eau c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. “M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng th\u00e0nh t\u1ef1u \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng, song Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1o ra th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3”, \u00f4ng Ousmane n\u00f3i v\u00e0 cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n l\u00e0nh m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n
TS David Dollar, Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean cao c\u1ea5p Vi\u1ec7n Brookings (M\u1ef9). \u1ea2nh: L\u00ea Ti\u00ean<\/p>\n
Nh\u1eafc t\u1edbi c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n b\u1ed9 m\u00e1y nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf,\u00a0TS Nguy\u1ec5n S\u0129 D\u0169ng, nguy\u00ean Ph\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 nhi\u1ec7m V\u0103n ph\u00f2ng Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i cho r\u1eb1ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc trong khu v\u1ef1c, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i.
\n\u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean l\u00e0 ch\u01b0a x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f5 h\u1ec7 chu\u1ea9n v\u00e0 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc. “Ch\u00fang ta n\u00f3i nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ec1 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ki\u1ebfn t\u1ea1o ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nh\u01b0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, Trung Qu\u1ed1c, nh\u01b0ng h\u00e0nh x\u1eed ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng theo m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0 Anh, M\u1ef9”, \u00f4ng D\u0169ng n\u00f3i v\u00e0 cho r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111i theo m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o “b\u1eaby thu nh\u1eadp trung b\u00ecnh”.
\nN\u00f3i v\u1ec1 n\u00fat th\u1eaft th\u1ee9 hai c\u1ee7a Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c World Bank Vi\u1ec7t Nam, \u00f4ng David Dollar, Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean cao c\u1ea5p Vi\u1ec7n Brookings (M\u1ef9) cho r\u1eb1ng, m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n v\u1eabn c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 th\u1ea5p.
\nG\u1eafn b\u00f3 v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u1eeb giai \u0111o\u1ea1n sau \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi, ng\u01b0\u1eddi t\u1eebng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00ed l\u00e0 “Dollar duy nh\u1ea5t” trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 90 cho r\u1eb1ng,\u00a0so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 c\u00f9ng quy m\u00f4, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 \u01b0u th\u1ebf h\u01a1n nh\u1edd m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1ed1t, nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3 thu h\u00fat \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i t\u0103ng cao, nh\u01b0ng \u00f4ng c\u0169ng kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh, “ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u1ec9 nh\u1edd d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i”.
\nL\u1ea5y v\u00ed d\u1ee5 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u00f4ng Dollar n\u00f3i, m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng l\u00fd do khi\u1ebfn Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nhanh l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a kh\u1ed1i kinh t\u1ebf t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng “b\u00e1m r\u1ec5” s\u00e2u v\u00e0o chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. C\u0169ng gi\u1ed1ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam, t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu thu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 kh\u1ed1i FDI, song c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd tham gia s\u00e2u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o chu\u1ed7i gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb. “H\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang M\u1ef9 nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd b\u00e1n s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m cho nh\u1eefng doanh nghi\u1ec7p FDI xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang M\u1ef9”, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i.
\n“T\u00f4i t\u1eebng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u0103m m\u1ed9t doanh nghi\u1ec7p t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi quy m\u00f4 ch\u1ec9 400 lao \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t k\u1ef9 s\u01b0 t\u1eebng l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c 10 n\u0103m trong m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng ty \u0111a qu\u1ed1c gia. \u0110\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i v\u1edbi c\u00f4ng ty m\u00ecnh l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c r\u1eb1ng, t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda m\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng, v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ty kia \u0111\u00e3 cho \u00f4ng \u1ea5y c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i”, \u00f4ng Dollar k\u1ec3.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Nguy\u1ec5n Xu\u00e2n Ph\u00fac t\u1ea1i Di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n v\u1ec1 C\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n 2019. \u1ea2nh: L\u00ea Ti\u00ean<\/p>\n
Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Vi\u1ec7t Nam, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1edf cao v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a FDI trong xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 21% doanh nghi\u1ec7p Vi\u1ec7t tham gia li\u00ean k\u1ebft v\u1edbi chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan l\u00e0 30%, c\u00f2n Malaysia l\u00e0 46%. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba h\u00f3a b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1t 33%. Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Nguy\u1ec5n Xu\u00e2n Ph\u00fac, trong ph\u1ea7n k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn Di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n, v\u00ed von nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 “ti\u1ec1n l\u1ebb” m\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p Vi\u1ec7t thu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1eeb chu\u1ed7i gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u00f3i ngh\u00e8o c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n m\u01b0\u1eddi sau g\u1ea7n hai th\u1eadp k\u1ef7, song c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn ph\u1ea3i th\u00e1o g\u1ee1. “H\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng” l\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a Di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n th\u01b0\u1eddng ni\u00ean v\u1ec1 C\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n n\u0103m 2019, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6391,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-kinh-doanh"],"yoast_head":"\n
\nM\u1edf \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1eb1ng chia s\u1ebb v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t Vi\u1ec7t Nam “kh\u00f4ng ng\u1eebng m\u01a1 \u01b0\u1edbc”, song Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng c\u0169ng kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh, kh\u00e1t v\u1ecdng h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc d\u00f9 r\u1ea5t \u0111\u1eb9p, nh\u01b0ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ea1i l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t, bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua.
\nTh\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00ecnh v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i, h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng GDP c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i, nguy c\u01a1 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby thu nh\u1eadp trung b\u00ecnh v\u00e0 t\u1ee5t h\u1eadu c\u00f2n cao.
\n“B\u1eaby thu nh\u1eadp trung b\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 c\u00e1i \u0111e d\u1ecda tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam”, Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0\u00a0\u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u00e1c b\u1ed9, ng\u00e0nh, \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u00ecm ra nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam.\u00a0
\nMinh S\u01a1n – Thanh Phong
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\nSource link <\/a>
\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"