Apparel retailers are getting whacked
An employee cleans a winter jacket inside the Canada Goose Holdings production facility in Toronto, Canada, on Friday, Sept. 8, 2017.
Cole Burston | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Retail stocks are taking a beating Wednesday, hurt by a handful of poor earnings reports and the looming threat of tariffs on clothing imported from China.
Canada Goose shares lost more than a quarter of their value after the company said sales growth in the coming three years wouldn’t be as robust as in the past. Abercrombie & Fitch shares were down nearly 25% as momentum cooled off at its Hollister brand during the latest quarter. That news also sent shares of rival teen apparel retailer American Eagle down about 5%. And Michael Kors owner Capri Holdings’ stock fell about 10% as it’s suffering from poor demand for its handbags.
“This is not a space deemed to be very healthy in terms of long-term outlooks for investors,” Wells Fargo retail analyst Ike Boruchow said. “You’ve got a group where the fundamentals are weakening.”
Then you throw in the idea of 25% tariffs on apparel and footwear, as the White House has proposed in its ongoing trade war with China, “and that’s a real earnings problem,” he said.
Abercrombie CFO Scott Lipesky told analysts on a post-earnings conference call the retailer hasn’t yet baked additional tariffs into its earnings outlook. Abercrombie imported about 25% of its merchandise receipts from China to the U.S. in fiscal 2018.
“We’re still dealing in the world of hypothetical here,” he said. “We remain very engaged with our sourcing partners. … We have a playbook in place if the hypothetical becomes reality.”
With all of the losses in the space, the S&P 500 Retail ETF (XRT) was down nearly 3% by Wednesday afternoon, on pace for its fifth consecutive day of declines for the first time since Nov. 20. This also makes an eight-day-long losing streak for the XRT and puts it on pace for its worst day since May 13, when it lost 3.76%.
Boruchow said there are less signs that consumers are pulling back but more that “parts of the industry” are weakening. High-end handbag makers are struggling as tourism drops off, for example, and some mall-based apparel retailers are seeing sales slow as more women opt to shop on platforms like Stitch Fix and Rent the Runway.
Department store chains Kohl’s, J.C. Penney and Nordstrom recently showed they aren’t immune to these trends, either, sparking a sell-off in the space just last week with their dismal quarterly earnings reports.
Dick’s Sporting Goods was one bright spot of Wednesday morning, reporting fiscal first-quarter earnings that topped Wall Street estimates and raising its outlook for the full year. But its stock reversed course from earlier gains and was last down more than 5%, falling with the rest of the industry.
Looking at the 20 worst performing stock among the S&P 500 year to date, a whopping seven are retailers: Nordstrom shares are down 30%, Macy’s stock has dropped 29.5%, Walgreens shares have lost 25.3%, Kohl’s stock is down 23%, Foot Locker’s stock has dropped 21.6%, CVS shares are down 20% and Gap shares have lost 19.3% so far this year.
— CNBC’s Gina Francolla contributed to this reporting.